| ECONOMIC OVERVIEW | |
|
Primary
industries, including agriculture, fishing and fish processing, and mining
are the mainstays of the Namibian economy. Since gaining independence in
1990, Namibia has been focusing on nation and institution building.
Policies of national reconciliation and affirmative action have been
instated and have assured a stable and peaceful social environment. Economic
growth for total production in real GDP terms in Namibia has been stable
since independence. Between 1996 and 2000, the annual growth rates were
between 3.2 and 4.2 percent. Although
stable growth has been a positive factor in the Namibian economy, it has
been too low to provide any substantial increase in per capita income. The
government is also aware that income distribution is skewed and needs to
be addressed. The government plans to invest in both physical and capital
assets and human resources in order to achieve higher growth in
production, incomes, and also to be able to effectively address poverty. The
primary (raw material producing) and tertiary (services) sectors were the
driving forces behind economic growth between 1995 and 2000. Average real
growth in the mining sector has been below 1.5 percent since the
mid-1990s. Ongoing investment in new mining projects is expected to turn
the sector around in the near future. |
|
|
During
the 2000/2001 fiscal year, GDP grew by around 1.6 percent. The
comparatively low growth is due to a decline in all primary industries,
but was offset by impressive growth in other sectors, particularly
construction. Agricultural output declined by 11.4 percent in 2001,
compared to a growth of 4.3 percent in the previous year. The negative
growth was a result of constant numbers of livestock in 2001 compared to a
substantial increase in 2000. The
fishing and fish processing sector fell by 7.7 percent in 2001, following
a decrease in fish catches. The mining sector continued to decline due to
falling production in diamonds and other mining and quarrying activities.
Diamond production dropped by 5.1 percent. The
star performer was the construction sector, which grew by 49.4 percent,
driven by the NamPower construction project. There was also an increase in
the number of building plans passed and completed in both the residential
and commercial sectors. Namibia
has an open, small economy and is vulnerable to fluctuations in the world
market. The present global economic slowdown has impacted on the
country’s economic growth rate, although it is expected to recover
during 2002. The estimated annual growth rate over the period 2002-2005 is
3.7 percent. Against
a background of strict fiscal discipline, the 2002 Budget theme was to
stimulate and support economic development and employment creation.
Specific policies and programmes include building of new institutions,
such as the Namibia Development Bank; the development of new
infrastructure, including the northern railway extension and tarring of
new roads; and the development of human resources through improved
education and training programmes, such as the establishment of Science
Education Centres and a centre for Innovation, Entrepreneurship and
Technology. |
|
|
Foreign
Reserves
(US$ m; year-end) |
|||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
Total reserves excl. gold |
250.5 |
260.2 |
305.0 |
259.9 |
234.2 |
| Source:
IMF, International Financial Statistics. |
|||||
|
Exchange
Rates
(period averages) |
|||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
N$: US$ |
4.608 |
5.531 |
6.115 |
6.940 |
8.610 |
| Source:
IMF, International Financial Statistics. |
|||||
|
Gross
Domestic Product
(market
prices) |
|||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
Total (N$ m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At current prices |
16,754 |
18,790 |
20,693 |
23,264 |
26,689 |
|
At constant (1995) prices |
13,665 |
14,115 |
14,598 |
15,022 |
15,269 |
|
Real
change (%) |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
|
Per head (N$) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At current prices |
9,878 |
10,737 |
11,464 |
12,494 |
13,893 |
|
At constant (1995) prices |
8,057 |
8,065 |
8,087 |
8,068 |
7,949 |
|
Real change (%) |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
-0.2 |
-1.5 |
| Source:
Central Statistical Office, National Accounts 2001. |
|||||
|
Gross
Domestic Product by Sector
(N$ m;
constant 1995 prices) |
|||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
Agriculture
and forestry |
926 |
909 |
1,009 |
1,052 |
933 |
|
Fishing and fish processing on board |
465 |
567 |
559 |
575 |
531 |
|
Mining and quarrying |
1,145 |
1,117 |
1,210 |
1,190 |
1,118 |
|
Manufacturing |
1,445 |
1,574 |
1,515 |
1,569 |
1,665 |
|
Electricity and water |
214 |
223 |
268 |
299 |
309 |
|
Construction |
367 |
423 |
364 |
348 |
520 |
|
Wholesale and retail trade |
1,248 |
1,336 |
1,380 |
1,452 |
1,480 |
|
Hotels and restaurants |
254 |
285 |
251 |
269 |
294 |
|
Transport, communications |
962 |
862 |
978 |
1,041 |
1,080 |
|
Financial intermediation |
423 |
450 |
461 |
489 |
498 |
|
Private, community services |
122 |
122 |
122 |
133 |
133 |
|
Government services |
2,980 |
3,059 |
3,160 |
3,235 |
3,293 |
|
Other |
275 |
281 |
286 |
292 |
298 |
|
Taxes less subsidies |
1,733 |
1,779 |
1,866 |
1,890 |
1,915 |
|
GDP at market prices |
13,665 |
14,115 |
14,598 |
15,022 |
15,269 |
| Source: Central Statistical Office, National Accounts 2001. | |||||